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2024-12-14 11:58:08

As of the close of early trading, the Nikkei 225 index fell by 1.2% and the Dongzheng index fell by 1.3%.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.


Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.Huawei and Shenzhen Jiaotong University released the pioneer scene of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection. Shenzhen Jiaotong University built the first supporting platform in China. It was learned from Huawei's business officer Wei that during the 2024 academic annual meeting of China Highway Society, in the sub-forum of "Lu Yun Energy" collaborative development, Huawei, Shenzhen Jiaotong University (301091), Shenzhen Intelligent Network Connection Transportation Association and other units jointly released the pioneer scene plan of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection smart parking, which helped the integrated and coordinated development of mopeds and Lu Yun. Relying on Huawei's high-precision visual positioning, 5G and AI technologies, Shenzhen Intelligent Networked Collaborative Smart Parking Commercial Operation Pioneer Scenario Scheme has launched a collaborative smart parking scheme combining cars and parking lots, which can provide navigation services and AR reverse car search services for ordinary vehicles. It is reported that commissioned by the government and built by Shenzhen Stock Exchange, relying on the city's digital twin platform and collecting the total traffic data of networked vehicles, the country's first intelligent networked vehicle full chain management and service support platform has been built to support the full-cycle full chain business management of intelligent networked vehicles such as testing, demonstration, access, grading, road operation and commercial operation, and support the cross-departmental collaborative supervision of intelligent networked vehicles.


Li Dongsheng said that low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved. On December 11th, at TCL Global Innovation Conference, founder Li Dongsheng said that in the current market competition, low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved in endless "involution". To surpass its competitors, it is necessary to strive for more breakthroughs in high-end products. He Jun, vice president of TCL Industry, talked about the current development of industrial software enterprises in China in a subsequent interview. He also said that from the aspects of financing environment and market support for enterprises, China is not an environment where good software enterprises can be born at present, but in the long run, industrial software may make a breakthrough in China software, and this time will not be very fast, and it will not be seen for three or five years.Wofei Sky Global Headquarters Base started in Chengdu. On December 12th, Wofei Sky Global Headquarters Base officially started in Chengdu High-tech Zone Future Science and Technology City. The first phase of the project started this time covers an area of about 30 mu, with a planned construction area of 26,700 square meters. It will build a production chain including composite material production, component assembly, painting, machine assembly, flight test, etc., which is mainly used for mass production of Wofei Changkong self-developed AE200 products.The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.

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